Jonathan's Space Pages

Space Object Reentries

Catalog of Space Object Reentries


In this catalog I assess and categorize each reentry of a historical artificial space objects (payloads, rocket bodies, ejected parts but not fragmentation debris) to compare with present disposal standards.

Statistical summary table [NOTE CAVEATS IN CODES.HTML!]

In the table below, rather than estimating casualty risk, we regard reentries of objects with masses greater than a threshold mass M0 as problematic.

For this edition of the table, M0 has been set to 5000 kg. Note that less massive objects, depending on design, may also pose a significant casualty risk.

Explanation of columns for this table

Updated: 2024 Jun 19 14:05:41

ReentryStats
CodeDescClausePL DisposedPL ActiveRBPartsTotal freePL Att DispTotal
Disposal consistent with US ODMSP
D-SODown/SO Targeteda1 2 0 471 18 491 0 491
D-DODown/Deorbiteda1 367 0 532 2013 2912 0 2912
D-LANDDown/Landeda1/f 2095 0 1 0 2096 0 2096
D-LEO25Down/LEO Reentry <25yr, Low mass M<M0b 3597 0 3298 6217 13112 279 13391
D-NL25Down/LEO-crossing <25yr, Low mass M<M0b 236 0 666 621 1523 8 1531
U-LEO25Up/LEO <25yr expected,Low mass M<M0b 1590 7073 130 43 8836 8 8844
U-NL25Up/LEO-crossing <25yr expected, Low mass M<M0b 2 0 14 13 29 2 31
U-MEO-EMEO Graveyard (ell.)c.I 25 5 200 110 340 4 344
U-MEO-CMEO Graveyard (circ)c.II 201 91 118 58 468 7 475
U-GGYDGEO Graveyardd 20 574 59 15 668 2 670
D-LUNDown/LunarL 68 0 7 64 139 0 139
U-HELHeliocentrica2 168 29 139 227 563 1 564
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SubtotalGood disposal (see note below)- 8371 7772 5635 9399 31177 311 31488
Other disposal
D-LEO25MDown/LEO Reentry <25yr, Massive M>M0- 35 0 97 0 132 3 135
U-LEO25MUp/LEO <25yr expected, Massive M>M0- 6 0 4 0 10 0 10
D-LEODown/LEO Reentry >25yr- 37 0 47 72 156 0 156
D-NLDown/LEO-crossing Reentry >25yr- 23 0 42 60 125 1 126
U-LEO+Up/LEO >25yr exceeded- 1289 0 640 503 2432 14 2446
U-LEOUp/LEO >25yr expected- 818 381 217 359 1775 10 1785
U-NL+Up/LEO-crossing >25yr exceeded- 26 0 23 109 158 2 160
U-NLUp/LEO-crossing >25yr expected- 7 0 7 77 91 0 91
U-DESTDestroyed- 9 0 4 3 16 0 16
U-GTOCrosses LEO and GEO- 128 49 369 147 693 3 696
U-XMEOViolates MEO rule- 46 33 5 3 87 0 87
U-XGEOCrosses GEO- 39 0 124 43 206 1 207
U-GEOIn GEO- 714 0 136 118 968 0 968
U-CISLCislunar- 32 14 34 48 128 0 128
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SubtotalBad disposal- 3209 477 1757 1547 6990 34 7024

Note: "Good disposal" means good from the point of view of risk for in-orbit debris collisions; can still be very "bad" from the point of view of ground casualty list for massive reentries.

Further caveats on the following items from US ODMSP Section 4-1:

Note: The ESA standard (ESSB-ST-U-007, 2023) and the ISO standard (ISO-24113, 2023) have generally similar requirements to the US standard, although the ISO standard restricts the GEO protected zone to inclinations of less than 15 degrees, and the ESA standard could use some improvements in clarity.