Jonathan's Space Pages

Space Object Reentries

Catalog of Space Object Reentries


In this catalog I assess and categorize each reentry of a historical artificial space objects (payloads, rocket bodies, ejected parts but not fragmentation debris) to compare with present disposal standards.

Statistical summary table [NOTE CAVEATS IN CODES.HTML!]

In the table below, rather than estimating casualty risk, we regard reentries of objects with masses greater than a threshold mass M0 as problematic.

For this edition of the table, M0 has been set to 5000 kg. Note that less massive objects, depending on design, may also pose a significant casualty risk.

Explanation of columns for this table

Updated: 2024 Oct 13 03:15:21

ReentryStats
CodeDescClausePL DisposedPL ActiveRBPartsTotal freePL Att DispTotal
Disposal consistent with US ODMSP
D-SODown/SO Targeteda1 2 0 473 18 493 0 493
D-DODown/Deorbiteda1 369 0 564 2013 2946 0 2946
D-LANDDown/Landeda1/f 2101 0 1 0 2102 0 2102
D-LEO25Down/LEO Reentry <25yr, Low mass M<M0b 3398 0 3325 6241 12964 281 13245
D-NL25Down/LEO-crossing <25yr, Low mass M<M0b 238 0 669 622 1529 8 1537
U-LEO25Up/LEO <25yr expected,Low mass M<M0b 1461 1024 127 34 2646 9 2655
U-NL25Up/LEO-crossing <25yr expected, Low mass M<M0b 2 0 15 12 29 2 31
U-MEO-EMEO Graveyard (ell.)c.I 24 5 202 110 341 4 345
U-MEO-CMEO Graveyard (circ)c.II 201 95 120 58 474 7 481
U-GGYDGEO Graveyardd 20 577 59 15 671 2 673
D-LUNDown/LunarL 68 0 7 64 139 0 139
U-HELHeliocentrica2 168 31 141 226 566 1 567
----------
SubtotalGood disposal (see note below)- 8052 1732 5703 9413 24900 314 25214
Other disposal
D-LEO25MDown/LEO Reentry <25yr, Massive M>M0- 35 0 97 0 132 3 135
U-LEO25MUp/LEO <25yr expected, Massive M>M0- 6 0 5 0 11 0 11
D-LEODown/LEO Reentry >25yr- 39 0 49 74 162 0 162
D-NLDown/LEO-crossing Reentry >25yr- 25 0 43 61 129 1 130
U-LEO+Up/LEO >25yr exceeded- 1290 0 641 507 2438 14 2452
U-LEOUp/LEO >25yr expected- 825 402 218 347 1792 10 1802
U-NL+Up/LEO-crossing >25yr exceeded- 26 0 23 110 159 2 161
U-NLUp/LEO-crossing >25yr expected- 6 0 8 76 90 0 90
U-DESTDestroyed- 9 0 4 3 16 0 16
U-GTOCrosses LEO and GEO- 125 50 367 147 689 3 692
U-XMEOViolates MEO rule- 46 33 5 3 87 0 87
U-XGEOCrosses GEO- 42 0 124 43 209 1 210
U-GEOIn GEO- 718 0 137 118 973 0 973
U-CISLCislunar- 35 12 34 48 129 0 129
----------
SubtotalBad disposal- 3227 497 1765 1542 7031 34 7065

Note: "Good disposal" means good from the point of view of risk for in-orbit debris collisions; can still be very "bad" from the point of view of ground casualty list for massive reentries.

Further caveats on the following items from US ODMSP Section 4-1:

Note: The ESA standard (ESSB-ST-U-007, 2023) and the ISO standard (ISO-24113, 2023) have generally similar requirements to the US standard, although the ISO standard restricts the GEO protected zone to inclinations of less than 15 degrees, and the ESA standard could use some improvements in clarity.